全部文献期刊会议图书|学者科研项目
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作者:Jiao Wang , Zhibing Liu , Ruiqing Zhao
来源:[J].European Journal of Operational Research(IF 2.038), 2019, Vol.277 (3), pp.857-874
摘要:Abstract(#br)Demand information is critical information for manufacturers when contracting, whereas very often, both the demand signal and its accuracy are privately known by the retailer. To better understand the impact of these two types of asymmetric information and further th...
作者:Pamela Danese , Matteo Kalchschmidt
来源:[J].International Journal of Production Economics(IF 2.081), 2010, Vol.131 (1), pp.204-214
摘要:Abstract(#br)Several operations decisions are based on proper forecast of future demand. For this reason, manufacturing companies consider forecasting a crucial process for effectively guiding several activities and research has devoted particular attention to this issue. This pa...
作者:Tom Boot , Andreas Pick
来源:[J].Journal of Econometrics(IF 1.71), 2020, Vol.215 (1), pp.35-59
摘要:Abstract(#br)Mean square forecast error loss implies a bias–variance trade-off that suggests that structural breaks of small magnitude should be ignored. In this paper, we provide a test to determine whether modeling a structural break improves forecast accuracy. The test ...
作者:Todd E Clark , Michael W McCracken
来源:[J].Journal of Econometrics(IF 1.71), 2001, Vol.105 (1), pp.85-110
摘要:Abstract(#br)We examine the asymptotic and finite-sample properties of tests for equal forecast accuracy and encompassing applied to 1-step ahead forecasts from nested linear models. We first derive the asymptotic distributions of two standard tests and one new test of encompassi...
作者:Jully Jeunet
来源:[J].International Journal of Production Economics(IF 2.081), 2005, Vol.103 (1), pp.401-419
摘要:Abstract(#br)Our incentive is to assess the impact of demand forecast errors on the cost performance of several lot-sizing techniques in a multi-level context. Unpredicted changes in demand keep on plaguing consumer product companies. However, efforts to improve demand forecast accuracy...
作者:Michael R. Galbreth , Mümin Kurtuluş , Mikhael Shor
来源:[J].Operations Research Letters(IF 0.519), 2015, Vol.43 (4), pp.349-353
摘要:Abstract(#br)In this paper, we provide an analytical perspective on the link between supply chain collaboration and forecast accuracy, showing that collaborative forecasting can lead to less accurate demand forecasts over a wide range of cost and demand parameters. The result...
作者:Kathleen S. Hartzel , Charles A. Wood
来源:[J].European Journal of Operational Research(IF 2.038), 2016
摘要:... Although initial research posited that POS data can improve forecast accuracy, recent research has called some of these findings into question. We identify item order quantity, item order variability, and item order frequency of orders as specific factors that can affect the ...
作者:Jakub Nowotarski , Bidong Liu , Rafał Weron ...
来源:[J].Energy(IF 3.651), 2016, Vol.98, pp.40-49
摘要:Abstract(#br)Although combining forecasts is well-known to be an effective approach to improving forecast accuracy, the literature and case studies on combining electric load forecasts are relatively limited. In this paper, we investigate the performance of combining so-called si...
作者:Francis X. Diebold , Minchul Shin
来源:[J].Econometric Reviews(IF 0.811), 2017, Vol.36 (6-9), pp.588-598
摘要:ABSTRACT(#br)We propose point forecast accuracy measures based directly on distance of the forecast-error c.d.f. from the unit step function at 0 (“stochastic error distance,” or SED ). We provide a precise characterization of the relationship between SED and standard predi...
作者:Evangelos Spiliotis , Fotios Petropoulos , Nikolaos Kourentzes ...
来源:[J].Applied Energy(IF 4.781), 2020, Vol.261
摘要:Abstract(#br)Achieving high accuracy in energy consumption forecasting is critical for improving energy management and planning. However, this requires the selection of appropriate forecasting models, able to capture the individual characteristics of the series to be predicted, w...

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